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US hopes of secular Iraqi state fade away
پنجشنبه ۱ دی ۱۳۸۴ ساعت ۱۳:۴۴
Conservative religious parties have surged to a runaway lead in the counting of votes to appoint a government to run Iraq for the next four years. With more than 60 per cent of votes tallied, Washington`s hopes that the former prime minister Iyad Allawi might pull enough support to build a secular administration have faded dramatically. Instead, a religious alliance is in the box seat. These parties are already imposing a strict religious code
Conservative religious parties have surged to a runaway lead in the counting of votes to appoint a government to run Iraq for the next four years. With more than 60 per cent of votes tallied, Washington`s hopes that the former prime minister Iyad Allawi might pull enough support to build a secular administration have faded dramatically. Instead, a religious alliance is in the box seat. These parties are already imposing a strict religious code on daily life across swathes of the country and are closely aligned with neighbouring Iran, one of George Bush`s ”axis of evil” enemies. The religious Shiites and the Kurdish parties have maintained their iron grip on the south and north respectively, but with 89 per cent of votes counted in the Baghdad melting pot, both Dr Allawi and his arch rival and one-time Pentagon darling, Ahmed Chalabi, face marginalisation. Amid claims of electoral fraud, it seems the religious Shiites are assured of dominating the new National Assembly, but not of the two-thirds majority needed for a series of major decisions on the shape of the new government or the fate of the new Iraq. Dr Allawi`s best chance of forming a government now hangs on his ability to draw Sunni and Kurdish support for his secular coalition, but observers believe he would still need to split the religious Shiites, an unlikely outcome in the wake of his meagre showing and their apparent triumph in Thursday`s poll. Iraq`s Sunnis turned out in dramatic numbers last week, but the Iraqi Electoral Commission is yet to release provisional figures for provinces in which they are the majority. But Baghdad`s Sunnis threw their support behind a Sunni religious coalition whose leaders have called for resistance to the American military presence and demanded that the US fix a timetable for withdrawal. Despite a concerted campaign push by secular and non-Shiite parties in Baghdad, the main Shiite coalition, the United Iraqi Alliance, grabbed 59 per cent of the provisional tally. Trailing it, with 19 per cent, is the main religious Sunni Arab party slate, the Iraqi Consensus Front. Dr Allawi`s secular coalition, the Iraqi List, scored 14 per cent and way behind was Dr Chalabi, whose paltry vote in the capital, less than 0.5 per cent, could deny him a slot in the first round of seat allocation in the new assembly. Sunni parties are expected to win up to 55 seats in the parliament. There is a risk that if the Sunnis are stonewalled in the parliament they will continue their material and moral support for the insurgency, making it even more difficult for Washington to make significant troop withdrawals before next November`s US mid-term elections.
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نام منبع: Sydney Morning Herald
شماره مطلب: 1294
دفعات دیده شده: ۸۵۴ | آخرین مشاهده: ۷ روز پیش